Perhaps an unsurprising source for something like this, but sometimes it is necessary to skip the political correctness and say exactly what you mean. I am sure that I have at least mentioned Dunning-Kruger before – the problem with something like that is that it seems like high falutin’ mumbo jumbo to the ears of many people – so perhaps it is better coming from the mouth of John Cleese.
Decision Making
Oh Dear – Just When I Thought Some Were Getting It!
In these days when so many are focussing on “the model” it is throwing up lots of insight into what people understand – and do not understand – about modelling and specifically models used for forecasting. Whilst much of the coverage has been OK both the media and the “experts” (not experts in modelling I should add for clarity) are often guilty of misrepresentation (to put it kindly!)
A Modeller on Modelling
My previous post was a little bit away from the norm in that it really did draw on my knowledge and experience more than it tried to expand it. I am going to do that again – because “models” are seemingly all the rage and, to be honest, I am seeing so much that is familiar from my days using (and justifying) models at work that is being reflected in the current situation.
Recognition Comes Too Late
One thing that I used to dread when I was working was someone asking me “what do you do at work then”? I suspect that I must have written about this somewhere, but the answer “I do modelling” is perhaps the most accurate and yet least informative one that I could give. Suddenly “modelling” is becoming quite the in-thing.
Democracy Is Great…
…but flawed! After writing my previous post I had a bit of a “lightbulb moment” regarding the democratic system. I am not saying for one minute that I have in any way solved the problem – but perhaps my lightbulb will shed a little luminance on it.
More Than Politics
Its almost a year since my last post – and slightly strange that the trigger should be (nearly) the same. There have been a number of things that, perhaps, could have been written about in that time – maybe a few that should have been – but my thoughts never got written down. This does not mean that there is only one thread going through my mind these days – although the fact that the previous post was on a very similar topic may make it look like that.
Clueless
Normally I put the entire title in the subject line – including any subtitle – but this time the subtitle is just a tad long
New research uncovers the story of two extraordinary financial mysteries, massive investor losses, and a brilliantly straightforward blueprint to achieve huge profits from investment funds
How To Own The World
Not so much a change of genre – more a completely different direction. The full title is How to Own the World: A Plain English Guide to Thinking Globally and Investing Wisely and that gives you the clues about the subject matter. Needed to start to read up about this so as to ensure that I don’t make too many rookie mistakes!
All In The Presentation
“Its all just ones and zeroes” – not sure whether that quote comes from a single identifiable source, but it is often used as a way of breaking down the complexities of most computer systems to something “understandable”. The problem is that although we understand “ones and zeroes” in their own right it requires rather more to interpret the meaning of all those “ones and zeroes”.
Are We Less Smart Than We Think We Are?
I am often intrigued by the type of post that appear on Social Media that ‘shout’ “only the smartest can get this right” or “only people with high intelligence can do this”. My gut feel is that these were simply ‘click-bait’ – trying to draw you in with the promise of proving that you are ‘better’ than many.