Category: "Decision Making"
What is My Favourite ....
It is a question often asked - what is your favourite music; what is your favourite restaurant; what is your favourite book? The list is if not endless then very long. I don't know about other people, but for me it is always a question that elicits an answer that is - at best - evasive. The problem, for me, is that all the topics on which one might be asked "your favourite" are extremely subjective and it is, again for me, nigh on impossible to come up with a definitive answer.
Categories: Fun, Decision Making, Worldview, ----------
Wise Paraphrase
Perhaps an unsurprising source for something like this, but sometimes it is necessary to skip the political correctness and say exactly what you mean. I am sure that I have at least mentioned Dunning-Kruger before - the problem with something like that is that it seems like high falutin' mumbo jumbo to the ears of many people - so perhaps it is better coming from the mouth of John Cleese.
Categories: Philosophical, Systems Thinking, Complexity, Decision Making, Cognition, Worldview, ----------
Oh Dear - Just When I Thought Some Were Getting It!
In these days when so many are focussing on "the model" it is throwing up lots of insight into what people understand - and do not understand - about modelling and specifically models used for forecasting. Whilst much of the coverage has been OK both the media and the "experts" (not experts in modelling I should add for clarity) are often guilty of misrepresentation (to put it kindly!)
Categories: Systems Thinking, Complexity, Decision Making, ----------
A Modeller On Modelling
My previous post was a little bit away from the norm in that it really did draw on my knowledge and experience more than it tried to expand it. I am going to do that again - because "models" are seemingly all the rage and, to be honest, I am seeing so much that is familiar from my days using (and justifying) models at work that is being reflected in the current situation.
Categories: Systems Thinking, Complexity, Learning, Decision Making, Worldview, Health, ----------
Recognition Comes Too Late
One thing that I used to dread when I was working was someone asking me "what do you do at work then"? I suspect that I must have written about this somewhere, but the answer "I do modelling" is perhaps the most accurate and yet least informative one that I could give. Suddenly "modelling" is becoming quite the in-thing.
Categories: Systems Thinking, Complexity, Decision Making, Cognition, Worldview, ----------
Democracy Is Great...
...but flawed! After writing my previous post I had a bit of a "lightbulb moment" regarding the democratic system. I am not saying for one minute that I have in any way solved the problem - but perhaps my lightbulb will shed a little luminance on it.
Categories: Philosophical, Systems Thinking, Complexity, Decision Making, Worldview, ----------
More Than Politics
Its almost a year since my last post - and slightly strange that the trigger should be (nearly) the same. There have been a number of things that, perhaps, could have been written about in that time - maybe a few that should have been - but my thoughts never got written down. This does not mean that there is only one thread going through my mind these days - although the fact that the previous post was on a very similar topic may make it look like that.
Categories: News, Philosophical, Systems Thinking, Complexity, Decision Making, Worldview, ----------
All In The Presentation
"Its all just ones and zeroes" - not sure whether that quote comes from a single identifiable source, but it is often used as a way of breaking down the complexities of most computer systems to something "understandable". The problem is that although we understand "ones and zeroes" in their own right it requires rather more to interpret the meaning of all those "ones and zeroes".
Categories: Complexity, Decision Making, Cognition, Worldview, ----------
Are We Less Smart Than We Think We Are?
I am often intrigued by the type of post that appear on Social Media that 'shout' "only the smartest can get this right" or "only people with high intelligence can do this". My gut feel is that these were simply 'click-bait' - trying to draw you in with the promise of proving that you are 'better' than many.
Categories: Fun, Learning, Decision Making, Cognition, ----------
The "System" Is Showing Its Limits
It is somewhat ironic that having been in the USA at the time of the EU referendum and, therefore, fielding questions from many Americans about "why" the vote went the way it did I should this morning wake to the news that they now have their very own version of the same type of result. The similarities between the build ups to the two elections and the way in which it eventually played out are eerily similar - albeit driven by two completely different agendas.
Categories: Systems Thinking, Complexity, Decision Making, Worldview, ----------
