Category: "Complexity"
Prediction is difficult - especially about the future
It was Neils Bohr who first said that, and it is something which we all often fail to remember. This is the first of two blogs (probably in quick succession) triggered by a TV programme that I watched this evening.
Friday 12th August 2011 at 23:25 by GRM , 700 words,
Categories: Complexity, Cognition, Worldview, ----------
Categories: Complexity, Cognition, Worldview, ----------
Unintended Consequences
The Law of Unintended Consequences has been recognised for a long time. I myself am fond of stating that the thing that will trip you up or cause a project to go awry is always the thing that you failed to consider - all of the planning and preparation and decision making that is carried out is premised on the fact that everything is known - this law suggests that premise is always wrong (assuming you are dealing with anything other than a very simple system).
Thursday 11th August 2011 at 14:41 by GRM , 328 words,
Categories: Systems Thinking, Complexity, ----------
Categories: Systems Thinking, Complexity, ----------
